Monday, September 17, 2007
SYRIA + NORTH KOREA + ISRAELI REPONSE = NO NUKES

You gotta admire the Israelis. They identify a threat and they act.

They don't cry to the U.N. They don't demand sanctions. They don't ask for permission from the Security Council. They don't try to triangulate France or China. They don't wring their hands and wonder if a potential response might not poll well with the "world community." They don't subscribe to John Kerry's "world test." They act.

After 5 months of surveillance, they identify that the terrorist-sponsoring, Lebanon-occupying, illiberal regime of Syria is importing nuclear material from North Korea... and they bomb that site.

What is Syria going to do? Conventionally attack Israel? Fat chance. Perhaps attack them by proxy via Hezbollah or another terrorist group? Well, they do that anyway, so for Israel, what's the difference? Won't the world villify them, call them war-mongers? Again, that already occurs anyway. So Israel loses nothing. The difference is that if you're going to be smeared for protecting your country, you better damn sure protect your country.

[UK Times] Results are forthcoming." The official story that the target comprised weapons destined for Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed Lebanese Shi'ite group, appeared to be crumbling in the face of widespread scepticism.

Andrew Semmel, a senior US State Department official, said Syria might have obtained nuclear equipment from "secret suppliers", and added that there were a "number of foreign technicians" in the country.

Asked if they could be North Korean, he replied: "There are North Korean people there. There's no question about that." He said a network run by AQ Khan, the disgraced creator of Pakistan's nuclear weapons, could be involved.

But why would nuclear material be in Syria? Known to have chemical weapons, was it seeking to bolster its arsenal with something even more deadly?

Alternatively, could it be hiding equipment for North Korea, enabling Kim Jong-il to pretend to be giving up his nuclear programme in exchange for economic aid? Or was the material bound for Iran, as some authorities in America suggest?

According to Israeli sources, preparations for the attack had been going on since late spring, when Meir Dagan, the head of Mossad, presented Olmert with evidence that Syria was seeking to buy a nuclear device from North Korea.

The Israeli spy chief apparently feared such a device could eventually be installed on North-Korean-made Scud-C missiles.

"This was supposed to be a devastating Syrian surprise for Israel," said an Israeli source. "We've known for a long time that Syria has deadly chemical warheads on its Scuds, but Israel can't live with a nuclear warhead."

An expert on the Middle East, who has spoken to Israeli participants in the raid, told yesterday's Washington Post that the timing of the raid on September 6 appeared to be linked to the arrival three days earlier of a ship carrying North Korean material labelled as cement but suspected of concealing nuclear equipment.

The target was identified as a northern Syrian facility that purported to be an agricultural research centre on the Euphrates river. Israel had been monitoring it for some time, concerned that it was being used to extract uranium from phosphates.

According to an Israeli air force source, the Israeli satellite Ofek 7, launched in June, was diverted from Iran to Syria. It sent out high-quality images of a northeastern area every 90 minutes, making it easy for air force specialists to spot the facility.

Early in the summer Ehud Barak, the defence minister, had given the order to double Israeli forces on its Golan Heights border with Syria in anticipation of possible retaliation by Damascus in the event of air strikes.

Sergei Kirpichenko, the Russian ambassador to Syria, warned President Bashar al-Assad last month that Israel was planning an attack, but suggested the target was the Golan Heights.

Israeli military intelligence sources claim Syrian special forces moved towards the Israeli outpost of Mount Hermon on the Golan Heights. Tension rose, but nobody knew why.

At this point, Barak feared events could spiral out of control. The decision was taken to reduce the number of Israeli troops on the Golan Heights and tell Damascus the tension was over. Syria relaxed its guard shortly before the Israeli Defence Forces struck.

Only three Israeli cabinet ministers are said to have been in the know: Olmert, Barak and Tzipi Livni, the foreign minister. America was also consulted. According to Israeli sources, American air force codes were given to the Israeli air force attaché in Washington to ensure Israel's F15Is would not mistakenly attack their US counterparts.

Once the mission was under way, Israel imposed draconian military censorship and no news of the operation emerged until Syria complained that Israeli aircraft had violated its airspace. Syria claimed its air defences had engaged the planes, forcing them to drop fuel tanks to lighten their loads as they fled.

But intelligence sources suggested it was a highly successful Israeli raid on nuclear material supplied by North Korea.

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Wednesday, September 05, 2007
FOOL ME TWICE...

[WSJ] You have to hand it to Kim Jong Il's negotiators in North Korea. They certainly know how to make U.S. diplomats pay again, and again, for the same real estate.

Thus we have this weekend's declaration by U.S. negotiator Chris Hill that the North Koreans have agreed to give up their nuclear program by the end of the year. Wonderful. But didn't they already agree in February to give up their entire program, as well as to present a comprehensive list of their entire nuclear program and arsenal within 60 days? That was seven months ago, and now the list won't be presented for another four months, if it ever is.

Meanwhile, North Korea is saying that in return for its latest unfulfilled promise, the Bush Administration has agreed to begin the process of taking the terrorist state off the U.S. list of terror-sponsoring states. Reuters quoted a Pyongyang spokesman as saying yesterday that the U.S. has also agreed to lift "all sanctions that have been applied according to the Trading with the Enemy Act." Mr. Hill wasn't as forthcoming, but you can bet North Korea will soon turn both of these U.S. actions into prerequisites to any further declarations on its part.

We're willing to bet, too, that the Bush Administration will end before North Korea really comes clean about its entire nuclear weapons program.

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Monday, July 23, 2007
REMEMBER GEORGE GALLOWAY?

Disgraced antiwar British MP George Galloway troubles are only beginning writes Christopher Hitchens in Slate.

I do not think that an 18-day suspension from the House of Commons is anything like enough punishment for what Galloway has done, first on behalf of a sadistic and genocidal megalomaniac and second to steal food and medicine from the mouths of desperate Iraqis. We ran into each other a few times on his debate-tour, and on the last occasion on which we exchanged views, when he told me that he would never debate with me again (which he has since consistently refused to do), I told him that we were not done with each other. I would, I told him, be waiting to write a review of his prison diaries. The Senate subcommittee has now referred his "false and misleading" statements under oath (a crime under 18 USC Section 1001) to the Department of Justice. Prosecutors in Manhattan (location of the banks through which some of the shady transfers were made) have also been handed the relevant papers. And the evidence adduced by the House of Commons must necessarily be considered by Scotland Yard, because it goes far beyond the damage done to the honor of Parliament. In the meantime, it will be interesting to discover whether Galloway's former wife, or the associates of his campaign who also received "Oil for Food" money [first payment for $150,000, the second for $120,000], ever declared the income or paid any tax on it. And if I was the editor of the Daily Telegraph in London, whose printed documents about Galloway appear to have been vindicated by the parliamentary inquiry, I would want to revisit the judgment for libel that Galloway astonishingly managed to win, even under a notoriously oppressive law, in an English court. His troubles are only now beginning.

Just look at the gang that strove to prevent the United Nations from enforcing its library of resolutions on Saddam Hussein. Where are they now? Gerhard Schroeder, ex-chancellor of Germany, has gone straight to work for a Russian oil-and-gas consortium. Vladimir Putin, master of such consortia and their manipulation, is undisguised in his thirst to re-establish a one-party state. Jacques Chirac, who only avoided prosecution for corruption by getting himself immunized by re-election (and who had Saddam's sons as his personal guests while in office, and built Saddam Hussein a nuclear reactor while knowing what he wanted it for), is now undergoing some unpleasant interviews with the Paris police. So is his cynical understudy Dominique de Villepin, once the glamour-boy of the "European" school of diplomacy without force. What a crew! Galloway is the most sordid of this group because he managed to be a pimp for, as well as a prostitute of, one of the foulest dictatorships of modern times. But the taint of collusion and corruption extends much further than his pathetic figure, and one day, slowly but surely, we shall find out the whole disgusting thing.

And as with all things disgusting, they usually involve the United Nations.

Speaking of which, Melanie Kirkpatrick explains a year long investigation of the United Nations Development Program -- financed in large part by US taxdollars, by the way -- finds that the agency "procured and delivered to North Korea in May 2006 technology that could be used for military purposes."

Nice.

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Tuesday, February 13, 2007
DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN

$400 million in energy aid to North Korea and an easing of economic sanctions against them in return for promising to give up the production ability for nuclear weapons... sounds like a great deal, right? Peace in our time, and all that jazz. Except one thing: legal documents with North Korea aren't worth the paper their printed on because North Korea always breaks the agreement. Indeed, legal agreements presuppose first that the interested parties are both honorable and law abiding. How does one trust a country that with authoritatively iron-fist rule imprisons and starves its own population? (see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ,6)

As James Robbins says, "We have lost sight of the fact that the only way substantive and permanent change will come to the Korean peninsula is with the end of Kim Jong Il’s regime." Kim Jong Il could have as much nuclear energy as he liked -- were he simply to create a democratic society as free and liberty-laden as North Korea's sister country, South Korea. Of course, that's a pipe dream.

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